matematica razboiului
Folosind instrumente matematice se încearcă analizarea conflictelor armate din prezent:
IN 2003, US soldiers in Iraq were given a pack of playing cards showing Iraq’s"most-wanted". In the top position – the ace of spades – was Saddam Hussein. His sons Qusay and Uday were the ace of clubs and the ace of hearts. The message was simple: capture the entire pack, and regime change would be achieved and the war in Iraq won.
It hasn’t worked out to be that easy. Part of the reason is that in this age of terrorist attacks, insurgencies and "asymmetric" wars between parties of vastly differing firepower, the dynamics of conflicts have shifted irrevocably. Now mathematicians are starting to build models of how such present-day warfare plays out. As they do so, they are coming to the conclusion that it is time to rewrite the military rule book.
Mathematics can never hope to fully encapsulate the complex business of war. It has long been used, however, to suggest tactical approaches. During the first world war, for example, the English polymath Frederick Lanchester devised a series of equations to calculate the power balance between opposing forces in a classic symmetric war, in which two hierarchically organised armies fight until one keels over.
Lanchester showed that long-range weapons had changed such conflicts. In old-style one-on-one combat, an army’s strength was proportional to the number of men or guns at its disposal. Weapons that allowed many targets to be attacked simultaneously increased that potential, upping an army’s strength so that it was proportional to the square of its firepower. Concentrating your army’s firepower, dividing enemy forces, and removing opposition leaders to disable the units under their control were key tactics that followed (see "Lanchester in action").
De aici.


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